4 Ways Professional Gamblers Calculate Their Returns & Avoid Losses

In the world of professional gambling, where the stakes are high and the risks are even higher, successful gamblers employ various strategies to calculate their returns and minimize losses. These individuals, often referred to as “sharp bettors,” have honed their skills through extensive research, disciplined bankroll management, and a deep understanding of the games they wager on.

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In this article, we will delve into the methods professional gamblers use to assess their returns and mitigate potential losses, taking into consideration the Canadian gambling landscape.

1. Understanding Bankroll Management

One of the fundamental principles followed by professional gamblers is effective bankroll management. Bankroll refers to the total amount of money a gambler has set aside for wagering purposes. By carefully allocating their bankroll, professionals aim to minimize the risk of ruin while maximizing potential returns.

1.1 Setting a Bankroll

To begin, professional gamblers establish a specific bankroll for their gambling activities. This amount is separate from their personal finances and is treated as an investment. They determine an affordable sum that won’t have a significant impact on their daily lives should they experience losses.

1.2 Determining Bet Sizes

Once the bankroll is established, professional gamblers calculate the optimal bet size for each wager. They typically use a fraction of their total bankroll, known as the “Kelly Criterion,” to determine the appropriate amount to wager. This formula takes into account the gambler’s edge or perceived advantage in a given game, along with the probability of winning, to calculate the optimal bet size that maximizes long-term growth.

1.3 Tracking Results

Another crucial aspect of professional gambling is meticulous record-keeping. Sharp bettors diligently track their wagers, including the amount bet, the odds, the outcome, and the net profit or loss. This record allows them to analyze their performance over time, identify areas for improvement, and evaluate their return on investment (ROI).

2. Research and Analysis

Professional gamblers spend substantial time and effort researching their chosen games, teams, or players. They analyze historical data, study trends, and scrutinize performance metrics to gain an edge over the average bettor. This research-driven approach helps them identify value bets and make informed decisions based on statistical probabilities.

2.1 Analyzing Odds and Lines

Understanding the intricacies of odds and lines is crucial for professional gamblers. They compare and contrast the odds offered by various sportsbooks, seeking discrepancies that may indicate value. By identifying favourable odds, they can capitalize on profitable opportunities and potentially outsmart the bookmakers.

2.2 Implementing Hedging Strategies

Professional gamblers also utilize hedging strategies to minimize potential losses. Hedging involves placing additional bets on different outcomes to offset or reduce the risk of an initial wager. This technique is particularly common in sports betting, where professionals may bet on both sides of a game to limit potential losses and secure a guaranteed profit regardless of the final outcome.

3. Utilizing Betting Odds Calculators

In addition to the strategies mentioned above, professional gamblers often take advantage of betting calculators to further enhance their decision-making process. These online tools allow them to calculate the potential returns and implied probabilities associated with different bets. Here’s how professional gamblers in Canada utilize betting odds calculators to their advantage:

3.1 Assessing Value Bets

Betting odds calculators help professional gamblers determine whether a particular bet holds value. By inputting the odds offered by a sportsbook and the implied probability derived from those odds, the calculator can indicate whether the potential payout outweighs the perceived likelihood of winning. If the calculator suggests a positive expected value (EV), indicating an advantageous bet, professionals may consider placing a wager.

3.2 Calculating Parlay and Accumulator Bets

Parlay and accumulator bets are popular among professional gamblers due to their potential for high returns. These wagers involve combining multiple individual bets into a single bet, with the winnings from each selection rolling over to the next. Betting odds calculators assist professionals in calculating the potential payouts and implied probabilities for these complex wagers. By inputting the odds for each selection, the calculator can provide an estimate of the overall odds and potential returns, helping sharp bettors make informed decisions when constructing parlay or accumulator bets.

3.3 Factoring in Different Bet Types

Betting odds calculators are versatile tools that can handle various bet types commonly used by professional gamblers. Whether it’s moneyline bets, point spreads, over/under totals, or proposition bets, these calculators simplify the process of evaluating potential returns and implied probabilities. Professionals can adjust the calculator settings according to the specific bet type and input the corresponding odds to assess the value and potential outcomes of their wagers.

4. Emotional Discipline and Risk Management

One characteristic that sets professional gamblers apart is their emotional discipline and risk management skills. They understand that gambling is inherently unpredictable and that losses are inevitable. Therefore, they employ strategies to control their emotions and mitigate the negative impact of losses on their decision-making process.

4.1 Accepting the Ups and Downs

Professional gamblers have a long-term perspective and recognize that short-term fluctuations are part of the journey. They avoid chasing losses or getting caught up in winning streaks, instead focusing on making calculated, informed decisions based on their research and analysis. This mindset allows them to remain level-headed and avoid impulsive bets driven by emotions.

4.2 Implementing Stop-Loss Limits

To protect their bankroll, professional gamblers set stop-loss limits. These limits represent predetermined thresholds at which they will cease gambling for a particular session or on a specific wager. By sticking to these limits, professionals refrain from chasing losses or becoming overly confident during winning streaks.

4.3 Diversifying Wager Types

Professional gamblers understand the importance of diversification. They spread their bets across different games, sports, or wager types to mitigate the impact of potential losses. This diversification strategy helps them manage risk and avoid overexposure to any single outcome.

Conclusion: Betting Smarter Requires Control and Strategies

Professional gamblers in Canada approach their craft with discipline, research, and a thorough understanding of risk management. By implementing effective bankroll management, conducting meticulous research, using tools such as betting calculators,  and maintaining emotional discipline, these sharp bettors are able to calculate their returns and avoid substantial losses. While gambling can be unpredictable, professional gamblers increase their chances of success by treating it as a calculated investment rather than a mere game of chance.

 

 

About Joel Levy 2587 Articles
Editor-In-Chief at Toronto Guardian. Photographer and Writer for Toronto Guardian and Joel Levy Photography